Desktop Research: Essays and Interviews on the Future

The initial listing of predictions about the future has been collected from our previous years' efforts and other recommended sources.

We'd love to see your clippings here as well! Please use the edit this page button to add more, or add comments on how or why you think they may or may not be important. As is the convention throughout the Horizon Project Wiki, we ask you to identify items you think are of high interest to us, as I have done here by typing 4 tilde (~) characters-- - Larry Larry Feb 7, 2012. This will help us to sift through the articles and determine which ones resonate most strongly with the board as a whole.

Recommended Reading

  • AI, Robotics, and the Future of Jobs
    In this report the Pew Research Center dives into artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics, and their impact on jobs and employment. Many interesting perspectives here.
  • Computer Science: The Future of Education
    According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, by 2020 there will be 1.4 million new computer science jobs. However, between current professionals and university students, we will only have 400,000 computer scientists trained to fill those roles. This article lists five simple steps that teachers, schools, parents, and industry can take today to integrate computer science into classrooms and begin to overcome the above-mentioned challenges.
  • 11 Predictions on the Future of Social Media
    This article asserts that global social media usage will continue on its upward trajectory and gives some predictions from industry experts.
  • 5 Sci-Fi Writers Who Predicted The Future Of Cloud Computing
    This is a fun write-up that gives five examples of sci-fi writers predicting the future.
  • The Future of Learning Environments
    An architect explains how workshops in which students explore and question existing spaces at their school, as well as in their homes, can help better incorporate student feedback when designing their learning spaces and schools.
  • The Future Of Online Education
    In this interview with Richard Baraniuk, Founder and Director of Connexions, he discusses how open educational resources are making significant progress and how learning outcomes will improve as OER becomes integrated with adaptive learning technologies that utilize machine learning algorithms.
  • The Future of the Open Internet is Decentralized
    The Internet is having a quarter-life crisis. At just 25 years old, it suffers from two serious problems: Surveillance is carried out en masse, and citizens in many countries can access only the heavily censored or propagandized information available to them.
  • The Generation Raised on Touchscreens Will Forever Alter Tech Design
    We now live in the touchscreen paradigm. These interactive glowing rectangles are infiltrating our lives: from our desks to our wrists to our living rooms...
  • Get Past the Gimmicks and Gaze Upon the Future of Augmented Reality Apps
    Mobile tech keeps moving toward AR. It feels tailor made for wearable technology, particularly smart glasses. New academic research has given us an insight into the exciting future possibilities for AR browsers, but it also highlights the barriers that must be overcome.
  • Harvard’s 1,000 Kilobot Swarm Demonstrates the Future of Robotics
    Swarms of small robots in their thousands that collectively complete complex tasks are now possible – and could be the future of robotics, according to researchers.
  • Is This The School Library Of The Future?
    Rearranging physical library spaces can make them more conducive to creative thinking and group work. The focus is less about organizing books and more about the student experience.
  • New Designs For New Schools
    In this interview, Leah Hamilton, Program Director of Urban Education at Carnegie Corporation, discusses new designs for schools and priorities they must consider, such as making use of assets both in and out of school, including internships and service projects.
  • 7 takeaways from ConnectED to the Future
    Recently the nation’s top superintendents and the U.S. Department of Education officials convened at the White House for the Superintendents’ Summit, which was known as "ConnectED to the Future." Check out seven themes that developed from this event.
  • Silicon Valley Teens on the Future of Technology
    During a tech event in Palo Alto the VC firm Foundation Capital asked dozens of teenagers what is in store for the future of technology. Some showed up with prototypes and models of projects they have in the works. When asked what kinds of college courses they’re looking forward to most, students called out things like “design thinking” and “applied entrepreneurship.”
  • Steve Hargadon: Escaping the Education Matrix
    The Internet has ushered in an era of “digital democracy” and increased people’s capacity to question the status quo. Widespread access to unlimited information has also opened many doors. But “the process of becoming a self-directed, independent learner is a very human process,” Hargadon says. “Recognizing the different needs of every student, and the desire to help each one become personally competent as a learner and find productive things to do in life—that won’t happen online.”
  • Still No Flying Cars? Debating Technology’s Future
    Mr. Theil and Mr. Graeber both believe that technological innovation is in a state of stagnation but they have different ideas as to how to change this. To Mr. Graeber, the key is replacing what currently passes for democracy with a genuinely participatory system of the sort prefigured by the Occupy movement. Mr. Thiel, describing himself as a “political atheist,” said that people should spend less time trying to change the system than simply creating things outside it. And the key to progress, he said, may not be more democracy.
  • Time for an Academic Bitcoin
    Perhaps it is time to create something along the lines of a bitcoin for higher education, a new international currency with different denominations that will be tied to different kinds of study. So for example, perhaps someone could acquire one kind of currency through traditional study in a classroom earning a particular “bitcoin”; let’s call these bitcoins, socratecoins. Then, another denomination for practical work such as internships, called practicoins; another for international study called globacoins; another for research called nobelacoins; perhaps one for study at for-profits called apollocoin and another for online study called moocoins. Surely moocoins will be earned by taking MOOCs?!
  • U.S. Views of Technology and the Future
    A new national survey by The Pew Research Center asked Americans about a wide range of potential scientific developments—from near-term advances like robotics and bioengineering, to more “futuristic” possibilities like teleportation or space colonization. In addition to asking them for their predictions about the long-term future of scientific advancement, we also asked them to share their own feelings and attitudes toward some new developments that might become common features of American life in the relatively near future.
  • What Students Will Learn In The Future
    Classes and content areas are perspectives to make sense of the world. If the world changes, should they change?